What Academic Studies are Worth

Learning is one way of being human.

The various academic departments in a college or university can be ranked on their relative prestige rather than as a menu whereby students have to try a variety of courses so as to get an ample meal. One way to track the various departments is by how hard they are. Mathematics seems the most demanding and abler students stand out quickly but some still decide that they cannot compete with the real stars and so fall back into other fields, like languages, their intellects superior enough to  master those fields, though there seems to be a cleavage between mathematical and language ability, some very good at one but not the other. Classics are said to always attract people even if there are few jobs in it because it is so hard and so it is not surprising that classicists go deeply into related areas like foreign policy or not so related areas such as psychoanalysis to use their acquired skills. Most of the humanities are not regarded as being as hard as the natural sciences or economics, the sole difficult discipline in the social sciences that is regarded as hard, though I note that historians or sociologists can view as naive the speculations on these other matters by people who do hard fields of study because they can form coherent arguments about them while a humanist cannot say anything intelligible about scientific matters. While the natural sciences are ranked hard to relatively easy, humanists are generally ranked from deep to superficial. Low end on the ranking of prestige by difficulty are area studies such as feminist studies because they engage in advocacy more than rigorous methods or include newer fields like mass communication where film production is more important than film criticism. 

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Romance and Romanticism

Romance, I think, is bursting out all over, but people disagree.

Here is a three net tennis match about a well discussed topic in literary history which I think unfolds an even deeper three part argument or presumption about social structure. The topic is the status of romantic love as it has altered or not altered across the ages. The contributors are my daughter in law Maria, who is a trained classicist and seems to have read everything; my close friend Roland, who has esoteric views about sociology, in which he was also well trained, but has standard view on literature, one of his major interests; and myself, also a trained sociologist with a literary flair, who is politically adventurous only in thinking that Joe Biden was the second coming of FDR, while having views on romantic love which seem rather radical even though I thought my own view was the usual one.

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Cultural Capital

Education is a social movement rather than a social class characteristic that inevitably replicates the prior generation.

There was a theory bandied about for many a year to explain why the social classes replicate themselves rather than are like a lottery whereby children all who went to school chose their situations and developed their abilities each on their own. In fact, the children of a social class emerged as the social class of their parents, the exception being ethnic groups where when introduced to the American mix rose to the level they might and then afterwards replicated themselves. Immigration push gets you just so far. The theory was that of “material culture”, which meant that the social classes had differential opportunities to get the material resources and opportunities to hone their minds. That included buying mobiles to hang over cribs so that the ever changing shapes intrigued the babies, or buying books and magazines and going to cultural activities or getting the experiences of having gone to summer camp. The more your family bought stimulation, the more you grew intellectually. I was dubious about this theory because even if  I noticed that Teddy Kennedy showed up at the Met to hear “La Boheme”, as I once saw him do, I didn’t think he was particularly intellectual, just a politician, however good and celebrated he was.  He was just doing the culture his social class did, and the dances done by the rich to the music of Lester Lanin were the same popular ones that existed throughout a teenage cohort, but never mind.

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The Presidential Campaign Now

Are voters reliable judges of character?

This is the dirtiest and meanest Presidential campaign in my lifetime. Worse than the Willie Horton ad leveled by George W. H. Bush against Michael Dukakis in 1988 where antiblack feeling was drummed up because Dukakis as governor of Massachusetts had left on parole a convict who reoffended. Just one and tube first Bush must have held his nose about what he was convinced to do. Not Lyndon Johnson unleashing the daisy petals ad and invoking nuclear war if Goldwater was elected in 1964, and a declaration by psychiatrists that Goldwatger was mentally unstable. Just  a few attacks, the petals had withdrawn after it was aired after only one time. Nor even Richard Nixon, who had associated his California campaigns with slanders on opponents being Communist tainted, presenting the checkers speech in 1952 to counter his having a slush fund, by clothing his wife in a Republican cloth coat and a refusal to give back the dog checkers that his daughters loved, himself clothed in Republican conventional respectability. This time is much worse. J. D. Vance says that it is alright to make up and repeat stories about migrants who happen to be legal but black as eating pets so as to show just how awful illegal immigration is. And a trump close supporter saying the white house would smell like curry if Kamala was elected and that Jews would be responsible if Israel was destroyed if Harris was elected, greatly exaggerating the two to three percent of Jewish American voters and American Jews in high places scrupulously and easily holding their allegiance to the United States even if having sentimental associations with Israel. When John McCain jousted with Barack Obama neither suggested the other was a threat to democracy and both current candidates charge that, one of them unfortunately true, the election an existential threat to America for the first time since 1860.

Even less combustible issues are discouraging. The Democratic Primary candidates in 2020, Harris, Sanders and Warren, were to the left of Joe Biden. Now, Harris is to the right of Biden, though not by very much, the best example of that in Harrfis wanting to raise capital income taxes by a little, less than what Biden has proposed. Trump was in favor of reversing Roe v. Wade and said so proudly but is now backpedaling because the issue is inflaming women. Not even the appearance of principle, just as his preferring a border issue rather than a border solution, as he said so overtly to Republican Senators who scuttled a border bill at his behest.This year found, this year as a whole, anti-Israel cohorts tinged with antisemitism has become prevalent and not only on campuses. The White House press corps displays some of that. A correspondent at a meeting asks whether their own beepers (which they probably don’t have as they are antiquated) asks if their cell phones will blow up. Jean Pierre, perhaps because of her discretion as press secretary does not quip as I would, “Not unless you got your instrument from Hezbellah which was a weapon of war sent  to underlings so as to communicate about planned battle action, and therefore liable to enemy intervention so as to disrupt military communications. Why were parents giving weapons of war to their children?

There is an asymmetry between the parties. Democrats don't castigate one another while Republicans say just awful things about one another. The worst Democratic candidates say is minor. Harris criticized Biden on bussing however much she misrepresented his position which was that local districts were free to allow bussing, and that is what happened when Harris was bussed as a child in Berkeley. Obama used his irony and wit to say of Hillary that she was “appealing  enough”. So Biden made up with Harris and made her Vice President and Hillary supported Obama with good conscience. Republican candidates go  for the jugular, as when George H. W. Bush as a candidate called Reagan’s economic policy “voodoo economics” and Vance said Trump was like Hitler. Those shouldn’t be passed off as words that become meaningless when the campaign is over for they lead to a cynical view that nothing politicians say can be taken seriously. Bush just allowed himself to be angry and say his words were only then once he became the Vice Presidential nominee and Vance says he learned to favor trump because of his administration as president though, obviously, being hitler is a  character trait that doesn’t go away even  if good administration follows unless he is a very bad judge of character, which is also a weighty  matter for someone running for very high office.

The columnists are all wondering under the guise of what they think the candidates should do is what they think the voters will do. What will motivate Harris or Trump to clinch the deal? What will Harris say to show is her purpose as president rather than just an alternative to Trump? Voters want more than that. But I disagree.The real question I ask is why that choice is not obvious. Whatever Harfris’s shortcomings, whether she flip flops or is not specific on policy, she is not a mean spirited insurrectionist who would sell America to the highest bidder and is afraid to confront any of America’s adversaries, he someone less likely to drop the bomb than to cave in at any treaty.

Consider the current events which make Harris a clear choice. The Biden Administration has been dealing with two major developments in the past few days and has been handling them professionally: they are providing hurricane assistance to the southeast United States and using the American military to assist Iranian missiles against Israel. American leaders are well informed and coordinating with one another and with their allies, saying very little about planks forward, which should be their posture, but as accurate as possible as the facts as they know them. That is  how a responsible government operates and by and large has operated in most Democratic and Republican administrations, sober rather than bellicose, measured rather than precipitous. And what does Trump do? He lied that Biden had not spoken to the Republican Governor of Georgia who himself said that Biden had given Georgia whatever he wanted. Trump lied about covid and recently about pets eaten in Springfield, Ohio, though that a President telling the truth to the American people is a sacred trust even if some information can be withheld. Will you trust Trump should he be elected to tell the people the truth about anything, significant, like a war, or trivial, like his crowd sizes? How can anyone take the position otherwise than that of the NY Times editorial board which is that in this case a patriot can only vote for Harris? And yet the polls remain surprisingly close, as if people disregard Trump as an insurrectionist or all the indictments against him . Why? Do people have no respect for the constitution or simple individual morality whereby we deplore liars and those who disdain the military?

And then, that night, there was the Vice Presidential debate. Vance “won” because he presented himself as more articulate than Walz, who opened with hems and haws rather than getting to the point directly, and also as a reasonable and compassionate person rather than the ogre and extremist preoccupied with punishing cat ladies by reducing the power of their votes. He did so by being mild mannered, family oriented, and engaging in the technicalities of legislation, as if people cared about such things, knowing that arguments could be made on all sides for an audience unfamiliar with the issues. So much for everybody wanting a policy debate when  clearly people prefer the personality debate that was present in the Harris Trump debate where everyone could assess the characters of the people running for President. Also, to achieve his ends, Vance just lied or obscured a number of issues as that was quickly ;pointed out by the commentators on CNN  who clearly prefer Harris. Vance said that he wanted to provide child benefits rather than defend his opposition to abortion. He also said that Trump saved Obamacare when he had in fact tried to overturn it. Vance also said that Trump had turned over power on Jan. 20th neglecting that he tried to overthrow the government on Jan 6th while also himself asking Georgia votes to give him the statue and in  cahoots with those engaged in drafting fake electors to gum  up the electoral process. Some of those actions are under indictment but trials are delayed at the behest of the president who, if he thought himself innocent, would move them quickly to clear his name. But the greatest failure of the debate was that the CBS moderator  put in  the question of Jan. 6th late in the debate rather than making it front and center because that is the central issue about whether Trump is suitable for high office rather than just one of a long set of issues worth debating. Insurrection is not just another item.

And this is happening while the United States is heavily engaged, though without ground troops, in two wars and abortion and the peaceful succession of power are mighty issues for the American people to deal with and debates just skirt around them. In the old days, when people were ideological or interest based, that is what candidates talked about: getting out of Korea or civil rights or welfare for the poor. Sometimes I prefer the old days so the media discussed the issues rather than personalities. But personality is what it is and the media do dig deeply into that rather than just the puff their supporters present. But I am unsure whether the American people are even up to judging character rather than policy. If they were, Harris would win in a landslide.

The Girls at Bronx Science

Elite high school in the Fifties might have been over-competitive, but they helped young women and also young men to liberate themselves.

The Bronx High School of Science, where I was a student from 1954-57, was an intellectually elite school whose admittance was based on a competitive test offered to any applicants and the highest scores got the seats regardless of any other criteria such as race or attendance or prior grades. That strategy has weathered various attacks on pure merit because, as I understand it, a number of the members of the state legislature were graduates, along with those from Stuyvesant High School, another test based school, to which my son attended, and those from Brooklyn Tech, another test school at the time, and those legislators protected the process. There are now six of these test schools in New York City and the student body in Science and Styuvesant is overwhelmingly Asian, though at the time the students of all three were overwhelmingly Jewish and had just a few Blacks, one of those a girl who had been raised in North Carolina by her preacher father and a capable student and no one was distressed that she was admitted to Radcliffe.

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"Genesis" and Abortion

Politics settles metaphysical issues such as abortion.

Neither the Old or the New Testament refer to abortion, which you would think would be considered there given how many religious people today regard abortion as a cardinal sin. Some Jews think otherwise. They cite “The Book of the Covenant”, included in “Exodus”, but regarded as the oldest of the Biblical texts, and which is a pact about the rules of warfare between raiding parties, as repeatedly invoking the idea that miscarriages are subject to less penalties than a death and therefore, interpreters say, that means a fetus is less valued than  a person. But that is a stretch in that “less” does not mean “not at all” and that the text  does mean “miscarriages” rather than “abortions”. Robert Alter’s translation just says fetuses “coming out”. Let’s look elsewhere.

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The Trump-Harris Debate

It is still a horserace.

The bottom line on the debate is that it is contentless even if consequential. Famously, in the first televised presidential debate, radio listeners thought Nixon “won”, whatever that means other than making some memorable pointed remarks lacking in  the opponent, while Kennedy was thought by the public to win maybe because of his teeth and smile while Nixon had five o'clock shadow. The debates contest appearances and so people decide they disdain Kamala’s laugh because that has become a Republican talking point. Moreover, we know alot about the candidates. Trump is mean and gruff and garbled and accept or like that for him, a strong man who voters may not have the gumption to express themselves while Kamala is a centrist left Democrat who moved more centrist this time than she was four years ago when the general rhetoric was more leftist even though Biden’s definitely New Deal leanings, pure FDR, was successful economically and overcame Covid. Saying the economy is the real issue is just a way of offering a respectable reason  for liking the Trump style. So why bother having the debate at all?

Well, the debate could provide dramatic surprises and that is what it delivered. And so the debate should satisfy as the real deal the broadcast and cablecast news organizations were hawking for a week now.Trump had to meet a low bar. All he had to do was sound coherent and a bit less mean while Harris, the old prosecutor, had to nail him on the wall to seem victorious. When I saw the debate, I decided that Harris began nervous but settled down and was fine at delivering her impassioned speech on abortion, but she failed to deny Trump’s charge that immigrants were being loosed from prisons and insane asylums, perhaps because so she would not seem to be protecting or defending undocumented aliens. In my view, the debate came down to being parallel stump speeches, each one offering their own slogans and myself amazed that Trump just goes on lying, like immigrants eating house pets. It was a largely useless exercise, I thought, that wouldn’t switch voters. People like the patter of the one they support.

But CNN  commentators thought differently, that Harris clobbered Trump, baiting him into saying stupid and racist remarks or having no answer to why he hasn’t offered a plan to replace Obamacare for the many years since Obama proposed it. The Times thought Trump was made small while Kamala went high. But if you discount his lies, Kamala doesn’t win by exposing them and, following J. D. Vance, it doesn’t matter if Haitians are eating cats, only that immigrants are disrupting American life. What still matters is comparing cheerfulness to meanness, and that is up to the voters. PBS,  the NY Times and the New Yorker mostly said the same thing. 

My take was different. Trying to expand the MAGAS would probably lose but  in a close thing. Trump was baited into saying what Harris wanted him to say, but Trump said what he wanted to say anyway: to be mean and vague and full of lies. His supporters want him to say these things even if MAGA commentators want him to dwell on issues. Why should he? He wins for his followers even if it loses the undecided, that very small figure who actually have not made up their minds about the differences. Trump has to gain more MAGAS to show up to vote, not win the undecided. In that case, he would probably lose but in a close vote. For Harris to really have a resounding victory, to win substantial numbers of MAGAS to her side, she would have required shaming him or getting him to stumble, which he did not do. He told his lies and exaggerations and did not linger on his self praise and grievances and so did not hurt himself unless people were ready to give up on him. The article yesterday in the NY Times by Peters, Healy and Robertson got it right, I think,  were close to the mark by pointing out that undecideds remained undecided which meant, to me, that uninformed people, and especially MAGAS, would vote for Trump whatever the debate results.

A debate is like a stage play and not just because it has revealing dialogue that is constrained in time and space, and in this case, as I claim, where the two sides were talking past one another. It is also dramatic because the audience makes sense of the drama, what is to be taken from the dialogue or excuse for one, out of the content and the exchanges. Playwrights improve a project by trying out audiences as to what makes an impact and will change a play so that it will resonate with real playgoers so that what happens on the strange is not elusive or obscure. They have to get it. Voters are even  less discerning playgoers. They are not schooled in political science or even standard historical references or particularly verbally astute. They just dip in late in the election year into politics and are expected to make a judgment on the candidates even though focus group members just after the debate the other night had difficulty articulating why they liked or didn‘t like one or the other candidate. The voters are amateurs with only passing interest in the subject matter and their specialized languages but they are supposed to be the wisdom of the Republic. Well, not really. People get to vote not because of their education or investment in the nation or even just because voting is an alternative to civil unrest. It is a procedure for transferring power and the Founding Fathers thought that a republic required only that a populace was virtuous, which meant that it could make obvious distinctions between right and wrong. The present election is obvious and we hope the Founding Fathers were right and the American people remain virtuous.

"Showboat" Melancholy

Life, like show business, puts you in the spotlight before making you miserable.

It is easy enough to think why the Mozart-Da Ponte triptych should be included in the Western literary canon because the three operas expand the consciousness so as to include women. “Don Giovani” shows that women are not to be trifled with; “The Marriage of Figaro” shows that other than aristocrats can create an independent family; “Cosi Fan Tutte” shows that women are onto men even if they do not admit it. It is harder, however, to include any American musical comedies into the canon because the plots are so mannered, so artificial, and so without depth or resonance despite the attractive tunes. “Pal Joey” and “Cabaret” are too pointedly cynical while “Fiddler on the Roof” and Rodgers and Hammerstein are too sentimental to meet literary muster even if  Billy Wilder does turn the trick even if he is cynical because he adds suspense to “Double Indemnity”, poignancy to “Ace in the Hole” and vaudeville slapstick to “Some Like It Hot”.

A candidate for entering the literary-cultural canon is “Showboat”, the Kern, Hammerstein and Ferber collaboration, which was introduced in the Twenties and was radical at the time because the play was sympathetic to miscegenation and treating blacks as fully formed figures while Jim Crow was at its height. There are artistic shortcomings in the musical comedy. That include lyrics that don’t fit the metrical line and a telegraphed plot line in that riverboat gamblers are not likely to be trusty breadwinners whatever their charm and personal rectitude. But the themes  of the show, which go beyond the political to the existential, are strong enough to give the world it creates plausible, ingratiating and even deep. The only comparison worth considering is Lerner and Lowe’s “My Fair Lady” which owes so much to the today underappreciated George Bernard Shaw who also offered a way of life, the Edwardian aristocracy and its low class counterparts, flower girls and shiftless cockneys, as well as distinguishable characters and a political agenda for female emancipation that goes to the heart of male-female relationships, still not fully plumbed a century after Shaw and a half century after Lerner and Lowe.

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How People Vote

Politics is character.

Kamala Harris continues to unroll her campaign, so far, without a hitch. She does so by providing a warm, and welcoming presence rather than a set of issues to run on. She extends Biden’s efficient and humane program of greater entitlements and a new  Democratic Congress would restore both voting rights and abortion rights, both of which Biden supports. But what she mainly sells is her presence and so she takes credit for taking charge and propelling her campaign to a growing lead over Trump, all due credit to be mentioned for the experienced people she put in charge of the campaign. I am amazed at her political touch and so it is understandable that policies aren’t central. They aren’t necessary, however much it may be that pro abortion voters might be the difference in the November election. 

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Three Kinds of Miracle

Three Kinds of Miracle


There is the miracle of change, the miracle of possibility, and the miracle of serenity.


Bert Erdman says that theologians can say whatever they want regardless of facts while a historian of biblical history lille himself are disciplined in that they can only point out to what texts say and compare them to one another so as to arrive at an accurate historical narrative and so can  conclude that Jesus never said He was God. THat point of view is too harsh on theologians. What they offer are explanations that make sense, which means can be expressed in words and internally consistent about supernal things, like the Trinity or the Resurrection. But these exercises in theology can do even more.Theological terms and distinctions addressed to explaining God and religion can be turned into philosophy in that tey apply to distinctions in the nature of existence, which is the realm of metaphysics. 


A good example of the transition from theology to metaphysics are the proofs of the existence of God that are exhibited by St. Thomas. They may fail as proofs but the devices each do catch a feature of what it is to be. Aquinas says that existence is better than non-existence and that means God exists because that is the preferred state and God is whatever is best. Revealing the fallacy of that argument allows considerations of the nature of existence. Not all attributes are scalar and so being existent is not better than being non-existent, just a different stage. Moreover, even things that are scaler need not mean there is a best or most. Yes, there is an absolute zero for temperature but there is no such thing as the hottest or that there is a most perfect and therefore best beauty. There are different kinds of beauty. The idea that grecian urn is the most perfect form is conventional rather than necessary. So Aquinas’s failures advance metaphysics.


Another valuable example of a theological controversy that can be generalized into a description of metaphysics, which is the study of being for itself, is available in the three interpretations that are offered for miracles, which is clearly a feature of religion, the experience of it made meaningful by finding words to describe it. The first and most ordinary description of miracles is that these are events which violate nature. These include the parting of the Red Sea and the Resurrection. (The communion in the  Catholic Mass is not strictly a miracle even though the claim is that bread and wine are transformed into flesh and blood because there is no claim that the transformation is at all visible, as the claim of the named miracles are, but shrouded in words so that the altered states are different in name or in essence rather than in reality.) It is no use to say the Israelites crossed over the Sea of Reeds and so was a natural event because if that were the case it was no longer a miracle in this meaning of “miracle”. 


Such an explanation away from a miracle that violates nature would put it into the second category of miracle which is a term used, which is that a miracle is any event so earth shatteringly significant that it is not divinely inspired or created and so the change just had to be because a person could not imagine a world where that event did not come to be. So people quite appropriately speak of the birth of a baby or finding your true love as a miracle because you can no longer imagine having had a life without them, life before that chaos or a limbo without enlightenment, accidents rather than necessities. Here, in this second case, there is no violation of nature, just the sense that the past was coincidental while the miraculous event was necessary. You are fated to meet your spouse because it is so important that you cannot treat it as coincidental. A miracle is whatever is singularly or collectively important, whether or not the Red Sea was divided and that created flounders. It was just absolutely necessary that it happened.


A third and viable meaning for miracle that is even further removed from a violation of nature is a subjective evaluation about how the processes of nature as well as of the supernatural are so awesome as to make oneself in the presence of a God-like power. Looking at the sunset creates a feeling of beauty even if you learn it is the result of a lot of soot in the sky. It is overwhelming as well in scope.Scientists can be awed at the immensity of the universe or the intricacies of biological evolution, people insignificant next to those immensities, just as people are  awed by the overly large structures of skyscrapers or the plans Hitler had for a newly built Berlin after the war was successfully completed. That is so even if the awesome things are also cringeworthy, as is  the case with a world of pterodactyls many ages ago without the presence of people or even most mammals. Babies and puppies are also awesome, perhaps because they are fragile rather than enormous and so it is very lucky to have them and so think they could not be  lucky, which makes this third kind of miracle into examples of the second type, all three types sharing a familiarity of necessary specialness. 


The third kind of miracle can create an ambivalent response. Spinoza was considered God intoxicated because he had what he considered his identification  with the all of everything because that is just the intensification of an experience of all that is, including both the natural and the conceptual realms. But Spinoza can also be considered as an atheist in that he redefined terms so that God is the name for everything and can’t make choices and that ethics is reduced into psychology. So modern day scientists can be in awe of the immensity of space or the intricacies of biology and call that religious and treat science as the how rather than the why or else say, following others, there is no need for the God hypothesis. There is no why, only how.


A theological definition of three kinds of miracles can be generalized so as to describe three kinds of a property of existence, which is the concept of cause, which is about how and what happens when things change. A first definition of cause is parallel to the idea that a miracle intervenes or violates nature. In this case, a cause is whatever it is that can disrupt or give resistance to what already exists. You push a boulder up the mountain; you finagle an  internal combustion engine so you can speed at eighty miles an hour; you insist your colleagues are all wrong in the way the committee should proceed. In that sense, cause is told in the form of a story because stories involve people doing something to change an initial condition, such as the placement of Claudius on the throne when,. Perhaps, Hamlet would be thought the rightful heir since he was son of the king and been superseded because he was away at Wittenberg and has now returned to Denmark. What is to be done with him  or by him? Some plays are said to have n o action that changes things but Ibsenism shows that from Chekov and Shaw, activities in plays can change a mood. Eliza not only has become able to act like an aristocrat; she is able to verbally battle with Higgins as an equal person. If there is nothing to overcome, there is no cause.


That  causation is regarded as a miracle in the ordinary sense that comes about in that it is problematic, events occurring within time to change from one state to another. How is it that one moment is connected to the next, the first transformed into the latter? That is the mystery of time. Malebranche, the underappreciated Seventeenth Century Catholic theologian and philosopher, solved the problem by asserting that every moment was a miracle in that God intervened agt every moment to make the next thing happen. Rather than desacralizing nature, miracles are available if you understand them right. That allows all people to feel serene, because every moment is guided even if free just as any scientist will say that people are free because they are in accord with the laws that in this special sense that they need not be enforced to be real. 


A particular kind of cause of this first type, as change, is the phenomenon of a trial, where people are found responsible for the consequences of their actions in the past and so as to include anticipated actions, such as planning a crime, because that is also an action if a person has planned with confederates to do a bank robbery. This kind of cause is, however, very specialized, in that only people can be ascribed to having been the cause of a crime because criminal justice is out to blame people for not having acted properly rather than the crime being the result of a defective brain or what is called acts of God. So a trial eliminates all  the forces or conditions not relevant for a person's intention . You may have had a weak septum but only the punch in the nose is considered as an impact that caused  the crime. Only people can be blameworthy while biology is a natural process and not a person. That people die is natural, while a mistake in surgery is subject to a suit.


The second kind of miracle, which is a consequence that is momentous, can be generalized into a meaning for cause, which is that some events will be more likely than  others to play a significant role in the future. So a butterfly can cause a catastrophe, but a hurricane is more likely. The idea of probability does not depend on contemporary elaborations of inferential statistics, but has always been with people. They knew the sun  would set but, unlike Bertrand  Russell’s chicken, who did not know it would be sacrificed in  the morning when the sun came up, people do wonder at how regular were natural and celestial cycles and so built Stonehenge and calendars to chart the miraculous ways they repeated rather than were unreliable.and  that they would face the cold of winter without knowing how harsh it might be and appealed to the gods to intervene to make the winter more mild, and that one species was likely to be more dangerous than another if approached by a human. People, one can presume, the likelihood of whether an approaching stranger is a danger and lessens or intensifies distrust on the basis of telling signs, such as one's tattoos or the person’s gestures, it always, nonetheless, that you can’t be certain even if you and he smoke the peace pipe. 


People are still amazed at possible momentous things and so speculate about whether storms are the sign of the Second Coming or that weather variations will lead to climatic catastrophes, and need to heed the warning that view events are really apocalyptic however much there is a chance of being killed on the highway during the drive home, or that you might find your wife has left home when you get home. There is no reason to think that we have all become less superstitious because we calculate better. To the contrary, the danger of momentous but statistical outcomes becomes more present and horrifying as we consider whether your medical testing  means you have a larger chance of getting prostate surgery or whether genetic testing shows your unborn child may  have abnormalities. The era of statistics increases uncertainty and so makes religious solace even more attractive than when intrusions might be made in life by witches and demons.


When possibility is the object of attention, it shows that the universe is not ordained and allows for choice. That is introduced into the inventory of reality and so free will is not a property of persons  but of existence, some mammals better or worse at engaging in it, thinking ahead. A dog knows when called to dinner that the bowl will become full and people  wonder whether they can  anticipate they will succeed at a task and reflect on the task as well as the separation between the anticipation of a task and its accomplishment.


The third definition of cause corresponds to the third definition of miracle, which is to stand back at the amazement of nature rather than resist it to notice its own probabilistic nature. That, in effect, is to negate the ordinary sense that cause means impact by reducing nature to formulas or other descriptions where nature is rule-like but does not intervene in nature but only describes it, magical formulas which provoke interventions now understood as descriptions alone. Invoking “F=MA” doesn’t accomplish anything, however profound the formula may be as the way the universe works. You can use physical or biological  forces but the words are only words, except in comic books, where “Shazam” turned a mere mortal into a superhero, however many superhero movies wish it were so. How a formula seems to guide nature and is said to be akin to the dictates of a lawgiver, a divine legislator, remains a mystery.


The three definitions of miracle can be applied to politics as well as to the idea of cause. The first view is that  not much changes in political life throughout the ages because it is always an uphill fight, overcoming resistance, so that a politician can grasp the brass ring of power. Politics hasn’t changed since David went from being the king’s courtier to becoming a rebel leader and then an overbearing king himself. What seems in retrospect seems inevitable, had to be accomplished through political and, in modern times, electoral mobilization. So people take the Federal Drug Administration to supervise the safety of their pharmaceuticals, but that had to be legislated into existence, and faced a contentious fight, as happened with the Affordable Care Act which was unpopular until it was in place for a few years and is regarded as necessary now by most vogters. What seems like it is stable, like Roe v. Wade, is not when people act against it just as what seems uncertain becomes certain, when people have the National Labor Relations Act in place as has been the case for ninety or so years. Indeed, Max Weber insisted on imaging charismatic or otherwise called singular figures as essential so as to overcome the entropy of custom and beau racracy. There had to be some first cause whereby politics could change and so the necessary job, the logical need for a compensating force to bring about change that would otherwise never happen, was the charismatic, a religious like invocation of a miraculous figure that every once in a while emerges to overcome the applecart, which is what politics, because there never was a time before politics that was not resistance, whether to overcome a Platonic city state imbued with loyalty replaced by a cosmopolitanism described by aristotle in  a generation or two, or an American Republic  so successful that we forget that the idea was at the time revolutionary.


The second type of miracle that applies to politics presents a very different view than is available as the ever ending struggle of politicians to change things. It is the idea that there are new political structures that come into place that are so formidable that all aspects of social life are overshadowed by them, however murky may be the origins of these structures, however much their designs become part of their national histories and are taught in schools at all levels of education. It seems remarkable and astonishing that the collection of people who made up the Founding Fathers were so perspicacious as to create their perpetual motion machine called the Constitution. It seems like a miracle no matter how much these people can be placed in their lives and circumstances and engaged in proposals and compromises before coming up with the document.  Democracy is another one of these large scale movements which came to dominate Western societies in the early Nineteenth Century and has sustained itself, encompassing Europe and North America and large parts of Asia, despite what might seem the cumbersome apparatus of arranging for reasonably legitimate elections and short terms of office, whereby royal regimes had long tenure and succession was most of the time assured, rueing the day when that secession was not clear. 


The possibility of a successful new alternative political formation that would have great consequence for governments and even the psyches of people was totalitarianism, which arose about a hundred years ago, but was vanquished by 1989, with the fall of the Soviet Union and where Russian government was replaced soon enough by authoritarianism, a very o;ld form of government,,where leaders only kill off their political rivals.Other social structures such as bureaucracy are very old, as old as the pyramids, as are also such social structures like professionalism, but there are also innovations, like cultic religions becoming congregation al at the time of Jesus and the rise of Protestantism, which insisted that miracles were accomplished in spiritual personal transformations rather than miracles, like confession or the Mass, however much the officiant was legitimately designated. So major political upheavals into new forms of social and political structures are uncertain of origin however profound their impact and people who bother can wonder how that could have come about. Just like being amazed at finding a spouse or a child especially in that people cling to the idea that whatever is has to be and so these developments are a rejection of politics as just the usual resistances.


The third way of understanding politics is applying the idea of standing back and experiencing political and social life as in accord with general principles, that is a substitute for it being individually or collectively motivated. There might be cycles which dominate, such as a circulation of elites, or more familiar to American politics, the idea that periods of innovation are replaced by periods of consolidation as when, again, Eisenhower accepted the New Deal, or when Jim Crow replaced Radical Republicanism. Or else there might be a secular trend whereby incrementally there grows up a greater suffrage or the extension of medical insurance so that it began  for the elderly and now is all but universal. Necessary social mechanisms are discovered, like regulated collective bargaining, though the guarantee of reliable and comprehensive voting frights has had a setback in recent years, while the ability to control; the business cycle has not found to be a satisfactory solution  in  that the Federal Reserve has only the crude device of changing interest rates up and down but has added quantitative easing into its repertoire. 


Some sociologists like Parsons rely less on season-like changes to see the patterns of social and political life. Instead, they try to abstract to the level of what are the inevitably necessary aspects of social life so that societies have to meet their perquisites one way or the other or else society will turn into chaos. This is very different from single factor theories which say that avoiding inflation is the main thing so that an economy will collapse and so will  the entire society, forgetting that there are many ways for a society to collapse: if it doesn’t maintain an  educational system or if it allows great ethnic unrest. And, anyway, stability is not the only way to describe a society, in that there is always its march towards inclusiveness and greater personal liberty.


Here is a reverse miracle in politics. While low information voters do not have to be conspiracy theorists, people of the working class and poverty areas mobilized by class and ethnic loyalties, low information voters can find conspiracy theories, whereby some diabolical people secretly plan to control politics, quite attractive. Conspiracy theorists as identifying an easily mastered mechanism with magical properties rather than attending to what os a[p[parently real, which is that people vote their interests and preferences and legislators are concerned to get reelected and that you have to put up with your boss even if he is nasty because you want to keep your job. Getting rid of  miracles means appealing to ordinary situations and motives. Just the opposite of miraculous thinking which is beneficial and instead spreads gloom and doom.

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What a Political Convention is Not

I wish national political conventions were more analytic.

The first national political conventions largely covered by television was in 1952 and both the Republican and Democratic eventual nominees for their parties were contested. For the Republicans, Robert Taft, often called “Mr. Republican”, was isolationist and anti-labor but was defeated by Dwight David Eisenhower, the famous general of World War II, who was an internationalist who would go on, as President, to in effect ratify the New Deal. I remember Everet Dirksen, the Senator from Illinois, standing on the rostrum and pointing his finger at Tom Dewey, who was the leader of the New York delegation, saying with contempt, Dewey, a strong supporter of Eisenhower, that Dewey “had led us down to defeat”. For their part, there were a number of contestants for the Democratic nomination in that year. There was support by Eleanor Roosevelt for Averil Harriman, the Governor of New York, who had been a major player in diplomatic negotiations for her late husband, and she was interviewed on television on Harriman’s behalf. But Harriman was somewhat stiff and probably nobody could have beaten Eisenhower.

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Taste

 Taste is constrained by circumstance and character.

Taste, as in food or music, is regarded as a personal preference that is inconsequential, but that judgment should not be extended to politics or literature, where people are said to be arbitrary or idiosyncratic but where these judgments are not merely consequential but also matters of character.

Begin with the superficial aren of taste. People like the food they grow up with and therefore often seen as comfort foods or throwbacks to their roots. So I like tongue and Reuben sandwiches because my mother was more or less kosher and some people identify the Italian culture with red sauce pasta rather than Michaelangelo or Dante. My children all knew how to use chopsticks because their family and the families around them frequented Chinese restaurants So food tastes are deeply set, people appalled at being exposed to unfamiliar foods, even though, Levi Strauss’s claim otherwise. In my view, taste is a matter of circumstance and history, however deeply set, and does not they do not convey meaning from or for a food taste. It doesn’t explain a person’s character because they prefer rare to well done steak even if someone can speculate that those who prefer the well done are repressed or that those who eat raw shellfish are more open minded. 

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Freedom and Liberty

These two sentiments divide America. 

“Freedom” and “liberty” are two terms that are used interchangeably since the founding of the Republic, as in “Give me liberty or give me death!”, which might have been said as “Give me freedom or give me death!”, but these two terms should be distinguished so as to be clearer about the architecture of government. Freedom refers to ways in which people are not externally constrained by governments and so point to the process of unleashing people of their shackles. Roosevelt’s “Four Freedoms” refer to becoming  unconstrained by fear and want though it treats the other two as attributes of positive government,  which is the freedom of speech and to engage in religion, but those two had been under attack by contemporary repressive governments and so to be thought of as something to be achieved rather than as the founding fathers thought inherent in human nature. Liberty, on the other hand, refers to what the unconstrained person can do and so are the expressions of individuality rather than a coercive act to be lifted. So people can mean liberty to mean, as many frontiersmen did, to be  far away from their neighbors, or wear holstered pistols so as to create a great equalization, or try unpopular or uncouth thoughts, or to engage in dangerous sports, or to otherwise explore the possibilities of the individuality coming into favor in the late Eighteenth Century.

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Expressionist Primitivism

African primitivism is a Western invention.

Germany was late among the European nations encountering and absorbing the meaning of dealing with more primitive peoples, those significantly less economically and culturally developed than they were, in that the primitive peoples were preliterate, even if, ironically, millennia before, as Tacitus attests, the Germans had been the barbarians who were confronted by the much more advanced Romans. The first invasion was the Spanish Conquest of South and Central America where Spain took gold from South and Central America and exported to that area its authoritarian religion and political administration. The English a century later extirpated the natives rather than turn them into peons so as to use the land for agriculture and so settled their own families into a group of English commonwealths even if they were chartered by an English king or nobleman. The French went farther afield, to Polynesia, exporting their language and culture and marveling, as Diderot did, at the freedoms these people had far from France, just as de Tocqueville, later on, thought was the case when contemplating the United States. More difficult to manage was Algeria, so close by and treated as a department of France, given that the Muslim world was not as far behind the Europeans in their culture and organization though, at the time, falling ever behind the Europeans in the clash of civilizations. The Germans, Johnny come latelies, only had a few puny colonies in Africa, but had become very conscious of primitive peoples. Germans romanticized American Indians in Karl May’s novels and in the Twentieth Century Germans filled their imagination with African people, as was clear in Expressionist art, and including up to the Sixties when Leni Riefenstahl did her unfinished documentary, The Black Cargo.

Double Portrait S. and L., Karl Schmidt-Rottluff, 1925, Museum Ostwall

A good way to begin in understanding the German take on African culture is to look at Karl Schmidt-Rottluff’s Double Portrait S. and L. from about 1925. The two figures are very different. One on the left has wide eyes and a reddish coloring uneven over the face which makes the nose mostly hidden in that color but outlined in green. While the figure on the right has narrow eyes and whose blue patches on the face also extend to the nose but so as to accentuate the nose because the blue is lighter and shaded with gray, it is possible to say that the two figures are portraits that are deliberately made ugly or that they evoke different moods, red for anger, perhaps, and blue associated with sadness. To say that is to speculate or read something in, like making a Beethoven symphony into a story, as people did in the late Nineteenth Century.

What can be accurately said is that the two faces are made into or clad with masks which might either hide or represent feeling, people elusive as they are present, a way of being faces different from a more traditional portrait that aims at accuracy and beauty both at the same time, as with Sargent, who had just died after his very long career. Here, instead, are disquieting and exaggerated presences so that the inner workings are elusive while the face, at least one of them, stare at the viewers in the face, each being what they inevitably are because they can be nothing other. The figures are not seen with x-ray vision or through interpretation or empathy but through how colors make people the ways they essentially are, and so it makes sense to think of masks, just as exist in African style because the mask also makes the person fierce or angry or just impressive because of its exaggerations and so the inner feeling is transmitted from the outside, from the appearances and, also is made rigid and guarded, as if the face could no longer be pliable or plastic but instead, like masks with which people cannot dispense. People of these sorts are rigid and the nature of color, a universal attribute, means they cannot be removed. Once seen, a face as a mask, never remembered. I do not have pleasure in seeing these faces but I appreciate them as existing in a kind of being which eludes their humanity while telling their harsh truths about how people can look and be looked at.

Three Nudes in the Forest, Otto Mueller, 1911

A more straightforward view of primitive Africans is presented by Otto Mueller who does many nudes of women in the forest, the bodies brown rather than black, as well as dual portraits of clothed African women. The style is clear in his Three Nudes in the Forest of 1911. The three, one seated, one standing full front, and the third to the side, are stylized in shape and color. Shadow and light are shown  by yellow tones, while most of the bodies are light brown. The features in the faces are sketchy, the breasts are small, and the vaginas are dark but not prominent. The forest is just a background of green foliage though you can see ferns and trees.The three figures are arranged so that the postures set one another off, as if they were exercises preparing for a portrait rather than the portrait itself. The painting can be compared to Picasso’s Les Demoiselles d'Avignon, near enough in time, from 1907, in that the figures are abstract and play against one another as if in a ballet pose. The objects are shapes rather than express meaning or personality or even sensuality, just their nudity. This is very far away from Renoir who tries to get the skin of his nudes just right so as to convey the beauty and sensuality of these women.

Two Sisters, Otto Mueller, undated

Mueller’s Two Sisters (undated) is very different even if it uses the same colors. The two girls have distinct faces, one with more open eyes than the other, but similar enough to show they are sisters. They are wearing modern dress even if rather unadorned and drab, in yellow and green, as is the green background. None of the brightness of color and elaborate dress found in Sargent, but poised, as suits, I would say, women acculturated to the West whatever their origins. Again, however, their busts are modest and their hair not highly dressed. The figures are distinct enough to make a viewer wonder what these people are like, which is remarkable enough in that these African figures are not just examples of a style, but individualized, and so like real people. Noteworthy, however, is that the trios and quartets of Africans, presumably because they are brown rather than just an arcane color, are put with indistinguishable backgrounds, brown or green and so suggesting foliage or sand but given little perspective and so like wallpaper, flat with a mood or design, and so very different where by Frederic Church, for example, the American artist half a century before, provides vistas so as to see foreign sites and flora and not just the abstracted people in their abstracted settings. The accomplishment of those expressionists make the shapes and the envelopment of setting as making the paintings about color and shape rather than factuality. Max Pechstein does present African natives in canoes just off a village but the anthropological and biological data is subsumed by the fanciful idea that the figures are nude when native peoples wore loincloths, just a fantasy of primitive life as au natural.

Early Morning, Max Pechstein, 1911

These new Expressionist conventions apply beyond the African scene. There is Max Pechstein’s Early Morning from 1911, which is a nude of a blue woman, something like from the movie Avatar, where blue is a natural color for a person, and has the usual sensuous and heavy lines even if her breasts are ample and oval rather than small and pointed and her stomach is large. Kirschner also does nudes in strange colors: whitish, or green, or many nude figures by other Expressionists in one or another brown to show, perhaps, that brown is a natural color for people.  

This leads to a new meaning for the primitive. It means elemental or basic, which in art means getting rid of fancy and civilized conventions like realism or perspective and getting back to the ways in which natives engaged in seeing before the civilized accouterments. In the pictures cited, that meant an emphasis on line and color and no distinction between foreground and background. Expressionists also engaged in presenting small patches of color that undid perspective by showing townscapes with a blur of glare infested places and so truer to experience than even the representations by Monet.

Red Houses, Erich Heckel, 1905

A good example of the Expressionist distinctive use of color is in Expressionist townscapes which avoid fidelity of representation to accomplish a fidelity of the way minds consider color. Erich Heckel’s Red Houses, from 1905, presents a number of houses next to one another which are each in a shade of red, those themselves not well matched but instead having their own qualities as well as adding up to a field of reddishness where the shade of red seems to go beyond the lines of the outline of the individual buildings so as to compass a reddish mass punctuated by blue blobs to indicate windows and all behind a field of dirty green. So this and other Expressionist art abandon the impressionist regularity of working within the lines as well as Whistler presenting swaths of black that emphasize the solidity and spatial dimensions of a bridge. Rather, what Heckel and others capture is a picture before it is straightened out by its conventions to become a representational one but are the experienced blotches not yet intellectually configured, primitive rather than abstract as if first seen before being attended to as a picture. The Expressionists try to imagine, like Kant, what experience is like before formed through the dimensions of time and space, and it is blobs of color.

A way to draw ideas about German Expressionism comes from looking at then contemporary American Negros who, after all, had to manage over the generations to overcome the cultural disparities that came from bringing people in a pre-literate culture forced into slavery and then into Emancipation and then into being part of the American mainstream. Alain Locke a philosopher and a student of the shifting Negro condition, said in The New Negro from 1925 that “African art is rigid, controlled, disciplined, abstract, [while] Afroamerican art is free, exuberant, emotional, sentimental, and humane”. Use these contrasting terms to describe Expressionist Primitivism. The authentically old was formalistic, distancing and scary while the Modernist take on Primitivism was fluid, with elongated rather than sharp shapes, colorful rather than monochromatic, and Romantic in its spirit of abandoning to the primitive rather than overcoming it with news gods and fiats. The plasticity of the self is a modern rather than a primitive invention and that is why, from Mary Shelley to Fritz Lang, it is about the future.

The Biden Withdrawal

Three incumbent Presidents in my lifetime decided not to run for another term, and they did so because they couldn't get reelected, however much Biden may be praised for doing the patriotic thing, which was also the truth.  Harry Truman said he wouldn't run in 1952 because he couldn't get a good enough deal to end the Korean War and because McCarthyite accusations against him had hurt him. Eisenhower had a clean slate. He took the available deal on Korea and bided his time to finish off McCarthy. LBJ declined to run because he could not get a negotiated settlement with North Vietnam and because Eugene McCarthy had nearly beaten LBJ in the New Hampshire Democratic Primary. Biden had to resign the nomination even though the polls with Trump remained close because he was told the polls were bad in the swing states and that the Democratic donors had dried up.

Moreover, there is plenty of time to shift to Kamala as leader. Remember that the entire British election season lasts just six weeks from the time the election is called until it is decided and Kamala will continue Biden's policies both foreign and domestic and can face Trump on the issues of abortion,and Ukraine in a lively manner, asking Trump in  a debate why Trump never criticizes Putin and that Trump is responsible for overturning Roe v. Wade. 

Another thought. Harris' vp nominee will have to be a white male so as to balance the ticket. even though the obvious choice would be someone from a battleground state, which means Wisconsin , Michigan or Pennsylvania. Gov. Evers of Wisconsin is just not mentioned as a heavy hitter. That leaves out Gov. Whitmer of Michigan and Sen. Klobuchar of Minnisota, but not Gov. Newsom of California. He is a heavy hitter but might be willing to take the job because, as the expression goes, it puts him one heartbeat away from the Presidency. LBJ made the same decision and not just to get Texas' electoral votes, though Sam Rayburn mentioned it as did JFK. The trouble with Gov. Shapiro of Pennsylvania is that it would make the Harris-Shapiro ticket too Jewish. Under Kamala, the spouse of the President would be Jewish. Harris's step-daughters refer to her as "mamala". That nearly happened once before because the wife of Michael Dukakis was Jewish and people asked her if she would put up the White House Christmas tree and she said she would. Harris's step-daughters refer to her as "mamala". So no Shapiro as vp. Sen. Mark Kelley of Arizona seems a good choice.

The Assassination Attempt

Political events are moving fast.

My literary sense rather than my sociological one told me that something important would break that was important in the news over the summer because things always do  happen. And so there were two events so far: the Biden debacle on the debate stage and the attempted assassination of Trump just a few days before the Republican National Convention in Milwaukee. Joe Biden, as usual terse and incisive, said no one could tell what the effects of the assassination attempt would be on the November election. Doubtless, I add, new events are bound to intervene, such as a victory over Hamas by Israel, or the long awaited ceasefire, or a bad turn in the domestic economy, which is unlikely in that the economy has been perking along quite well and only diehard Trumpists think otherwise. But the latest news is that Biden has covid and is reconsidering abandoning the nomination for a second term and so the assassination attempt may be overshadowed by subsequent events and not have much impact on the election in November, so far away as it is.

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Biden Bounces Back

But his nomination isn’t secure.

American voters will have to engage in a bit of discernment in choosing which nominee to decide to be President in November. In the past, they could vote on relative charm or whether the economy was doing well, knowing that whomever was elected would have been a responsible President and so not a crucial choice. But not this time.

If Biden had flubbed yesterday during his post NATO Summit Meeting press conference the way he had in his debate with Trump and his interview with George Steponopolis, then Nancy Pelosi and some other senior Democrats could have had the distasteful duty of  going to the White House and telling Biden that he could no longer do the job and give way to either Kamala Harris or a short list of articulate, vigorous and well experienced Governors for the Chicago delegates to choose as standard bearer. But that is not what happened. Biden was strong in offering a comprehensive view of foreign policy. He explained the reason for and accomplishment of a strong NATO to fend off the America Firsters who had not infiltrated into the Republican Party since Pearl Harbor, pointing out that internationalism included both Ronald Rdeagan and himself. He turned a question of whether he was able to negotiate with foreign leaders into describing that he had restored talks with China and that at the moment there was nothing to talk about with Putin who is not willing to budge on his war aims against Ukraine despite the very high casualties to Russia and a loss of land in Ukraine controlled by Russia. Biden also mentioned that he had strengthened the Pacific Rim allies and so was controlling China and  economically punishing Chinese cooperation with Russia.Biden also said that managing Israel was difficult because it had the most conservative  government it had, his own involvement going back to the time of Golda Meir. Biden also managed to point out that at home  employment was up and inflation down and illegal immigration seriously lessened because of his own executive orders. Quite a good performance.

But here is where the discernment comes in. Biden’s voice is weak. He sometimes has to wait a few seconds to recover a word he is looking for, something familiar to myself during advanced age. He sometimes garbles his words or stutters. He is clearly an old man and so need to notice that his knowledge of the facts and ideas remain clear and decisive. He knows what he thinks, has thought through the issues, rather than offering canned statements. Don’t worry about  teleprompters that are used by both candidates. He is an active and acute observer of what is going on and people should notice that if they put aside his  elderly mannerisms. 

The media will over the next four months have a lot of influence in helping the voters to discern what is the differences between reality and appearance, not something required in past elections where voters could choose differences between policy, character or party affiliation. Will the media dwell on Biden’s verbal lapses or attend to the fact that he knows what he is talking about? That could make the difference. An even greater challenge to the media is how to handle Trump, whose test begins soon enough this coming Monday at the Republican Convention in Milwaukee. Commentators have already taken the role of fact checking Trump but will they do it aggressively enough tyo show he lies all the time about anything and that what he says are assertions rather than evidence or arguments, which seems a mental failure of his that goes very far back and so is not the result of aging.

The most important questions to face Trump or his spokespeople starting now is why he has never provided evidence of a rigged election, or why he hid and lied about secret documents and what right he had to ask Georgia to give him the votes needed for him to win the vote in the stage. He and they can claim Trump can’t say because these matters are in the courts, but that doesn’t wash. He is offering himself to be President of the United States not just in jeopardy of being a jailbird.  He can be asked to meet a higher standard, that of public opinion. Ask on the Sunday programs why there are no explanations of these various issues and why is he delaying the process for possibly exonerating himself? The ball is in his court and evading the issues makes him seem guilty, which is reason enough not to vote for him, as well as for his general demeanor of meanness and his plans to overthrow democracy. Commentators may be willing to discuss the 2025 Project but find it distasteful to deal with Trump’s personal character, every president, like Richard Nixon, given a clean shave for his past character once assuming President because it is so distasteful to deal with negative personal qualities. Bjut why shouldn’t they ask? Newspapermen looked into Gary Hart’s personal life and undid  him  as a candidate. Why not ask why revenge isn’t always a bad thing or that diminishing an opponent’s stature by remarking on his small hands or his wife’s appearance diminishes himself rather than the people he tries to belittle. Media people will have to wade into personalities when they try to avoid thinking verbal flubs are evidence but smearing is beneath their dignity when it is the most obvious evidence before them.

We will see next week how the media handle Trump. That could be decisive.

Stories of Anticipation

Stories are not declarations.

What is a story? It is different from narrative, which is the telling of any sequence of events, as happens in a chronicle of kings with some anecdotes about them added. A story is more sophisticated than that, providing irony and closure. And yet, a story is presumably as old as the time people began to speak, telling stories in caves or around campfires that projected into the future how to kill an animal or recalled from the past how an animal was killed. Story is therefore an elemental aspect of human consciousness, a construction of consciousness, just as straight lines are also human artifacts, things out of consciousness rather than from nature. But a theory of straight lines has been available since Euclid while the nature of story is not well elaborated.

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What Democrats Should Do

Biden should pass the torch.

The debate last Thursday was not as awful for Biden as it was perceived because the commentators dealt with Biden’s weak delivery rather than the lies offered and the revenge promised by Trump. the commentators did not deal with the essence which was that, rather than the shitshow predicted, the two contestants made clear what they believed: that the other one was the worst president ever and a liar and sending America to ruin. That clarified things and the electorate can decide which one is correct. More cynical people I know just think that they are both a disgrace, while I think that Biden, even though he has a weaker voice, was correct on the issues and his own propriety.  If Biden wins, the worst that can happen if he becomes a figurehead President, just like George W. Bush. Biden would continue his policies and points of view backed by a strong cabinet while a Trump victory is a disaster for the Constitution. People will see that out-- or so I think.

But people have acted differently and many now seen Biden as unequipped to be President because of his infirmities rather than his wise and agile management of government given the divided populace and organs of government while treating Trump’s bluster as not really meaning what he says, which is to create internment camps for millions of people, get revenge against his political enemies by politicizing the Justice Department and making most civil servants into political decisions an d to replace taxes with tariffs, which would lead  to a Great Depression. What can be done to stop Trump? An interview with George Srephanopolis is not likely to restore Biden’s support and important Democratic leaders as well as media leaders think it time to make a turn. Movement is occurring quickly as was the case when England considered  a surrender to Hitler at the time of Duunkirk and I do not exaggerate the menace a second term for Trump would be to the American Constitution.

I suggest the following plan. The leading Democrats would orchestrate a pageant at the Chicago Convention next month when, Biden having announced he will not run, three or four likely contenders, such as Harris, Klobuchar, Newsome and Whitmer, will present speeches saying that Biden has gone far but like Moses will not enter the promised land but will continue his policies in his name and then  the delegates will jostle with one another about which one will be the standard bearer. (I eliminate Buttigig because Trump will make gayness the issue, but then again, I didn’t think Obama would get elected in 2008 because he was Black. So I could be wrong and Mayor Pete has proven himself an excellent cabinet secretary, having mastered the intricacies of transportation, which are considerable.) Biden might agree with this plan to have an exit with glory, deified while still alive. When Hubert Humphrey, having been defeated by Nixon, returned to the Senate and soon found out to have terminal cancer, he received many tributes from his colleagues about his accomplishments. Rather than thinking this morbid, Humphrey said he loved it. Politicians are like opera singers. They love applause.

There would also be advantages to the nation. Remember that Lyndon Johnson got large majorities in Congress in the 1964 election because of the assassination of John F. Kennedy the previous year. That allowed Johnson to pass major civil rights legislation. A similar tribute to Biden as the person worn down from his long political endeavors might give the Democrats enough election wins that they could pass civil rights and voting rights bills as well as legislation on the border, the electorate a bit guilty at  heaving Biden out now that he was ousted. Such is the nature of popular political feeling. At least we will be rid of Trump and can hope that the Republicans can return themselves into being a conservative rather than  Populist party. That may be wishing too much, but the future can be formed through good wishes rather than dire forebodings.